09:30, Friday, July 30, 2010

Βατραχομυομαχία

By Michael J. Smith on Friday July 30 09:30 AM

More comic relief from Alternet:

Help NPR beat FOX News

Dear Reader,

The White House Correspondents Association is considering giving a prime front row seat at the White House -- recently vacated when Helen Thomas retired -- to Fox News. The idea that a right-wing propaganda outlet would be given such an honor is outrageous. Please join me in telling the WHCA to give that seat to NPR instead.

http://act.credoaction.com/campaign/npr_beat_fox

Truly, I laughed till I cried. Where do you start? We're supposed to care who sits where in the White House press room? We're to believe that we can be saved from the Huns of Fox News by the preux-chevaliers of... NPR?!

One marvels that anybody could be so paltry-minded as to concern himself with submicroscopic trifles of this kind. But of course that's Pwogs for you. Beating up on Fox News represents the uttermost limits of the Pwog politico-cultural imagination.

22:39, Thursday, July 29, 2010

The monsters!

By Owen Paine on Thursday July 29 10:39 PM

http://hcfan.3cdn.net/415b606e9dc7b1655c_w2m6ibgwg.pdf

Industry Trying to Undercut Congress,
Weaken Provision Worth $1.9 Billion to Customers
That's our health insurance coven the headline refers to.

Say we spread that $2 billion savings over 100 million premium payers. That's 20 bucks a year each. And what was your annual premium, last time you checked?

Oh my God! If the elephant boys retake the Hill -- no $20 rebate for you!

21:31, Wednesday, July 28, 2010

The sheepskin bubble: ready to burst?

By Michael J. Smith on Wednesday July 28 09:31 PM

From the professional journal On The Inside -- or no, whoops, the Chronicle of Higher Education:

Government Vastly Undercounts Defaults
Many More Students Are Defaulting Than Official Tallies Show

The share of borrowers who default on their student loans is bigger than the federal government's short-term data suggest, with thousands more facing damaged credit histories and millions more tax dollars being lost in the long run.... one in every five government loans that entered repayment in 1995 has gone into default....

For loans made to community-college students, the 15-year default rate is 31 percent. David S. Baime, senior vice president for government relations at the American Association of Community Colleges, called that number "shockingly high... It's really just a tragedy given the consequences of student loan default."

Borrowers who default on their student loans face significant personal and financial burdens. They become ineligible for additional federal aid and may have their wages and tax refunds seized by the government. Their negative credit records make it harder for them to obtain car loans, mortgages, and credit cards, and even apartments or jobs. When they can get loans, they pay higher interest rates.

But it's the high rates of default at for-profit institutions that are likely to get the most attention.... Fifteen years into repayment, two out of every five loans made to students who attended two-year for-profit colleges are in default.

The parallel to the housing bubble is hard to resist: people sucked en masse into a speculative investment which just hasn't panned out. Because of course, such investments by nature can't possibly pan out for everybody.

This has provoked some interesting and insightful commentary on my lefty mailing lists. Sample:

This blip in the default rate is another byproduct of the one single achievement to which fans of the eight-years of Clinton can point: a reformed system of grants and loans to get people to go to college. After all, in the capitalist world view, unemployment simply comes from a lack of job training.... the Democrats opted for this education-route... As some of us argued at the time, the entire Clinton package on education was about running money through the fingers of those students into the coffers of the universities and colleges (who were all then participating in that building boom).
The "building boom" refers to a Village Voice article -- yes, the Village Voice, reporting some real news for the first time in thirty years or more:
Will NYC's College Building Boom Bubble Pop?
New York's universities have grand expansion plans, but could the economy--and online courses--doom them to failure before they've even begun?

Real estate development was the first casualty of the Great Recession, but a half-dozen New York City colleges are in the midst of an unprecedented building boom.

St. John’s University in Queens has already spent almost $160 million on a new student center and classroom upgrades during the past two years alone. Fordham, the New School, and John Jay College of Criminal Justice are all betting on big campus expansions. And over the next three decades, NYU and Columbia are preparing to shell out nearly $10 billion for academic and administrative buildings, dormitories, research labs, and even unrelated commercial ventures like a hotel and a jazz club.

It's certainly true in my nabe, and my experience. Columbia University, the armpit of the Ivy League, is expanding like a metastatic carcinoma, obliterating whole neighborhoods in a way that hasn't happened in this town since Robert Moses repaired to his eternal brimstone berth in Hades. NYU is visibly doing the same, and even proletarian CCNY is popping up new erections all over the place.

I see the same thing everywhere I go in this broad land. A campus that was quiet and bucolic a few years ago now boasts the gleaming new Harry And Mildred Furrier Fitness Center, or the Artabazian School Of Identity Politics.

The incarceration sector and the credentialling sector -- both huge success stories over the last few decades. One can't help wondering if there's some link between the two -- some deeper law that accounts for both these vast gigantisms.

A few months ago I did a little bit of digging in the stats, and with some help from better-informed comrades on one of my mailing lists, I was able to derive the following graph, showing college and university expenditures per student in constant dollars:

Now what's this money being spend on? It's not faculty salaries, that's for sure, since classes have gotten bigger and the reserve army of casual adjuncts -- shockingly ill-paid, as I can attest from personal experience -- has taken over much of the dreary burden of classroom patrol.

Has anybody looked into this? Does the building boom account for it? If not, what else is involved?

23:03, Tuesday, July 27, 2010

He was despiséd, despiséd and rejected

By Owen Paine on Tuesday July 27 11:03 PM

Ecce POTUS Obama, enemy number one of... corporate America!

Considering just about everything since February of 2009, that is quite a bold anti-meme to play, and yet, read this:

"There’s no doubt that Obama is unpopular in the business world. On Wall Street, he’s persona non grata, thanks to his push for financial reform and his rhetorical sallies against fat-cat bankers. Private-equity managers hate him for trying to take away their lucrative carried-interest tax break. The Chamber of Commerce has attacked him for having “vilified industries” and enacted “job-destroying regulations,” while the publisher and real-estate investor Mort Zuckerman declared that Obama heads “the most hostile administration to business... in decades.” Some of this is just political posturing—when haven’t businesses wanted less regulation?—but it also reflects a real conviction among American businesspeople that Obama has made profit seem like a dirty word...Obama’s tone...is dampening the spirits of business leaders, making them unwilling to take risks."
Thats Mr Sourwiki at the Knickerbocker News. He's played this tune several times before of course. You'd think Obie was welcoming wrath from Wall Street's dark side, like that great cripple from the Dust Bowl years, instead of what... buffing Jamie Diamond's toenails?

Ace columnist Sourbraten here drops the POTUS as profiteer bounty hunter amidst an utterly routine pranging of our great corprate trolls for not spending their trillions in cash on shiny new machinery, added "outlets", brilliant new products and ad campaigns, and of course, hiring loads of upskilled new staff wranglers.

The notion that Obie is bad for business is dispelled, of course, and quite right too: "It's the economy" that's causing corporates to cash hoard, not fear and loathing of a scornful POTUS, according to this precision detail-oriented bigfoot.

Crap like this tries to shape the response to the White House limited-liability ass lick, at least among Manhattan wannabes: At the end of the day, despite all Obie's well intended moves.... Sure, he's flunked, but hey, he's trapped by economic forces not of his making and way beyond his control, and err... well... at least the right people hate him, eh?

Le juste milieu

By Michael J. Smith on Tuesday July 27 10:39 PM

On one of my lefty mailing lists I just received an appeal to sign a petition to ban Israel from the next dreary Olympic Games.

Of course I signed it, since I like the idea of banning Israel from anything it could possibly be banned from.

Still, a little humorous imp wouldn't stop giggling somewhere in the back of my brain. Surely, the imp whispered, if there's anywhere that Israel belongs, it's the Olympics? The world's most nearly Fascist country, these days -- surely it ought to take pride of place in one of the world's most Fascist spectacles?

The ideal outcome, of course, would be that everybody else boycotts the London Olympics and only Israel and the Brits show up. Israel would kick the Brits all around the stadium and the Brits would tearfully express their deep gratitude for the opportunity to be of service.

Corollary To The Peter Principle

By Al Schumann on Tuesday July 27 01:46 PM



BP Plc plans to name Robert Dudley to succeed Tony Hayward as chief executive officer as the board looks to recover the company’s position in the U.S., two people with knowledge of the matter said.

Dudley, the director of BP’s oil spill response unit, is ready to be announced as the company’s first American chief and to take the helm Oct. 1, one of the people said, asking not to be identified because a final decision hasn’t yet been made. The decision was reached in discussions with board members about how best to take BP forward and rebuild its U.S. position, the person said.

“The fact he is American should help to keep things a little more straightforward in his dealings with the U.S. administration,” said Ted Harper, who helps manage $6.8 billion at Frost Investment Advisors in Houston. He doesn’t hold BP stock. “Dudley’s most important task will continue to be making sure that the well is capped.”

Bloomberg

Stumbletongue Tony makes way for the only organization man less qualified to handle the catastrophe he created. Taken at face value, Dudley's task was immediate and thorough remediation of the disaster. He's consistently made things worse instead. So of course he's a candidate for CEO. Where else could he go? It's too soon for him to run for the Senate.

I take a jaded view of the Peter Principle. Competence comes with assumptions that have little bearing on the struggle to climb up the corporate ladder. It's crude political maneuvering; petty, sneak thief and vindictive, in which aptitude for the notional organizational purpose gets punished and sidelined long before the strivers get near real decision making power. Ultimately, they're elevated by accidents and missteps on the part of their competitors. Their backers in the frenzy are driven by fatuously post modern concerns (the hollow proprieties of perceived status) and utterly dependent on state support to preserve their positions. The state compradors who toady to them are, themselves, inept hacks who blunder their way to the top through appeals to the most callow impulses of their identity product consumers.

Metamorphosis of Ajax(*), via the Pentagon

By Michael J. Smith on Tuesday July 27 12:26 AM

Sophocles' Ajax is seldom performed these days. The reason is not far to seek: to our way of thinking, the protagonist is a bloated overweening brawler, a Bronze Age steroid-crazed gym rat, who literally goes insane because he feels he's been dissed in the allocation of war plunder, and takes out his fury on a bunch of hapless quadrupeds before eviscerating himself with his own sword (and not a minute too soon, one is tempted to murmur as one reads through this very forbidding and hard-to-enjoy text).

Hard texts are of course worthy of study, and there might be ways of reading Ajax which could be illuminating in understanding Sophocles' world or even, perhaps, our own.

But to paraphrase von Rauffenstein: Alas, poor Sophocles. His problem play has been taken up by the Pentagon -- for $3.7 million dollars -- and is, apparently, box-office boffo on Marine bases:

Greek classic resonates at Camp Pendleton

Combat veterans, and their loved ones, say the themes of Sophocles' 2,500-year-old play are painfully familiar. It was staged as part of the Pentagon-sponsored Theater of War project.

Bryan Doerries, director and founder of the project, said Marines tend to be his best audiences, possibly because of their intense focus on the "core values" of honor, courage and commitment.

Under a... contract with the Pentagon, Doerries has brought his productions to dozens of U.S. military bases and other locations including the Pentagon, Walter Reed Army Medical Center, a shelter for homeless veterans, the Naval War College and various conferences.

The goal of the project is to show troops and their families that their problems are universal...

Now this is a disservice to "troops and their families." A vicious lie, in fact. Their problems are not "universal". They wouldn't have these problems if they hadn't gotten mixed up with the military. They would have had other problems, sure. But not these problems. Vexing problems, no doubt. But those problems, I bet, wouldn't have led to severe personality disorders on quite such a scale as the LA Times story, quoted above, depressingly reports.

I'm kinda losing my detachment here. I spent some time, when I was a lot younger, stumbling my way through a few of the ancient texts. I came to love the old boys, in my upper-bleachers amateurish way, very deeply.

But by God I would rather that every scrap of Sophocles had been burnt in the library of Alexandria, rather than that the poor man should have his words used by the Pentagon to purge the pity and fear of its ill-used "troops", and their hapless families, so they can keep on keepin' on with the vile unspeakable murderous enterprise of empire.

It's only the truth that can make you free. Making the patsies feel better is part of the con artist's game. But feeling bad, when things really are bad, is Nature's way of telling you to get out of Dodge.

Some of my erstwhile colleagues in the Classics Brigade of the Credentialling Division are pathetically glad that their specialty is getting funded from such a bottomless slush-fund as the military budget. $3.7 mil! That's a lot of tweed jackets!

Okay, guy's gotta pay the rent somehow. But there's a side of me that wants some ex-Marine Ajax to show up, heavily armed, in his classroom, and take out a few harmless domestic animals.

-------------

(*) With apologies to Sir John Harington -- though he might have seen some similarities between his jakes and ours.

01:24, Saturday, July 24, 2010

Welcome to the tar pit, baby

By Owen Paine on Saturday July 24 01:24 AM

Public sector job force under siege: that's the gist of it these days, a constant pounding as state and local budget gaps get closed with pay cuts and pink slips.

Hey, lots of these folks got unions... no?

Are they fighting back? In many cases, yes; but so far the asshole Mcjobbed majority is not responding. The wage and benefit isolation of the public sector workers from their fading cousins in the private sector has really come home to roost this summer.

Our vast unorganized private service sector looks on as the public workers take a vicious mugging, and they appear not just inert but silently gleeful.

We can't have a strong sustainable pub-sec union movement if the pri-sec movement is foundering. Hell, the pub-sec unions are comparatively new compared to the once-mighty industrial unions now suffering humiliation in their protracted twilight dotage.

Shape of things to come for all you, too, you silk-contract AFSCME-ites, AFT/NEA-ers and other public-teat whatevers?

And hey, SEIU organizing the vast pool of quasi-public health workers ain't got much better long-run prospects either.

Brothers and sisters of the organized pub-sec: help us pri-sec lugs lift ourselves out of our blighted Mcjobbled pay pits, or prepare yourselves to fall down here yourselves and join us in time-punched purgatory.

00:44, Friday, July 23, 2010

Everybody loves a tax, right?

By Owen Paine on Friday July 23 12:44 AM

Recently Ferdinand Trumka, the bull of the union pampas, thundered over to a microphone and bellowed: "It’s time to restore the estate tax and restore it now"

I'll second that, brother T!

Here are some rather limp suggested restoratives (as retailed by the blog squad at Aflack HQ):

"...the estate tax should be restored at its 2009 levels or stronger. In 2009, the estate tax exempted the first $3.5 million and applied a 45 percent rate thereafter. Trumka said the AFL-CIO has endorsed two current bills. The first, from Rep. Jim McDermott (D-Wash.), includes a $2 million exemption and rates of 45 percent to 55 percent. That would raise about $31 billion more over 10 years than the 2009 levels.

Legislation from Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Harkin has a $3.5 million exemption and rates of 45 percent to 65 percent and would produce about $62 billion more over the next 10 years than the 2009 levels."

A mouse of a revenge tax, given 50 years of wicked burden shift. But like Mrs O'Leary's cow and the lantern -- maybe it's a start.

07:33, Thursday, July 22, 2010

Intro to Godley Economics: Sectoral Balances

By Fred Bethune on Thursday July 22 07:33 AM

A little while back, Owen asked me to do an exposition of Wynne Godley's economic model. Here's a start at least. I'm going to begin with the basics of macro, like GDP, and then move into a simplified sectoral balances approach used to analyze the factors that influence GDP. It's pretty "wonkish", but if you can get through this, then you'll be dismalizing with the big dogs in no time. If anyone has any questions, I'd be happy to answer them.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the value of all goods and services sold within a country during one year. GDP measures a flow rather than a stock (example: the federal deficit is a flow, the federal debt is a stock).

In the above diagram, Nominal GDP would be measured as the flow of money that passes through the "Domestic Producers" in one year, while Real GDP would measure the volume of goods and services produced by the "Domestic Producers" in exchange for that money.

If RGDP increases, then you have growth. If RGDP decreases, then you are in a recession.

If NGDP increases faster than RGDP, then this contributes an increase to the price level (average per unit price of domestically produced and imported goods & services). If the overall change in the price level is positive, then you have inflation.

If NGDP decreases faster than RGDP, then this contributes a decrease to the price level (average per unit price of domestically produced and imported goods & services). If the overall change in the price level is negative, then you have deflation.

The blue arrows (Savings, Taxes and Imports) denote money being taken out of the national economy. The green arrows (Investment, Government Spending and Exports) put money back into the national economy. If the total outflows are more than the total inflows, then NGDP decreases. If total outflows are less than total inflows, then NGDP increases.

(Inflows) - (Outflows) = Change in NGDP
(I + G + X) - (S + T + M) = ΔNGDP

The sectoral balances approach, pioneered by Wynne Godley and now in use at Goldman Sachs and PIMCO, provides a useful way for thinking about the imbalances that may occur. It groups the inflows and outflows according to sector. If any sector takes more money out of the economy than it puts back in (saving), and is not compensated for by the other sectors putting more money in than they take out (dissaving), then the overall flow of money to the Domestic Producers, NGDP, decreases (Paradox of Thrift). For any given period, ex ante, it would look like this:

(I-S) + (G-T) + (X-M) = ΔNGDP

I = Investment
S= Savings
G= Government Spending
T= Taxes
X= Exports
M= Imports
ΔNGDP= Change in Nominal GDP.

The brackets are used to denote the separate sectors.
Private sector (business sector & household sector) dissaving= (I-S)
Public sector dissaving= (G-T)
Foreign sector dissaving= (X-M)

This chart from Goldman Sachs shows the savings rate for each of these three sectors over the last few decades. Whenever a sector stays above 0, it is saving (lending to others). Whenever a sector is below 0 it is dissaving (borrowing from others) . Note that since savings equal debts at the aggregate level, all three rates sum to 0, ex post.

blank

Clinton Era (1992-2000): The trade deficit results in the foreign sector saving. The government also saves by reducing its deficit and eventually establishing a fiscal surplus. The private sector picks up the slack by increasing its borrowing, encouraged by Greenspan's low interest rates. Trend: private dissaving, public saving, foreign saving

Bush Era (2000-2008): The trade deficit is still widening, and the foreign sector is saving even more (Bernanke's "savings glut"). The drag from the trade deficit is so bad that Bush's large fiscal deficits and Greenspan's low interest rates are necessary to keep the economy afloat. Trend: private dissaving, public dissaving, foreign saving

Obama Era (2008-2010): The trade deficit is still an issue, but now the private savings rate has gone up while private borrowing has collapsed. The private sector can't be convinced to increase its borrowing, even with interest rates at 0%. Now the public sector has to pick up the slack for two sectors, necessitating huge deficits. Trend: private saving, public dissaving, foreign saving.

That's it for now. For further reading, you can check out this article.

*NOTE*
Causation: This model itself doesn't say anything about causation (why one sector is saving or dissaving). It leaves that question open. I've hinted at the way that I see the causation running in my summary of the Clinton-Bush-Obama timeline, but the model itself leaves those questions open to further inquiry.

23:56, Wednesday, July 21, 2010

One more under the bus

By Michael J. Smith on Wednesday July 21 11:56 PM

I watched Shirley Sherrod's whole 40-minute speech just now and was intensely moved by it.

She reminded me very much of my own paler-skinned Southern relatives. She lived through experiences my gang never had to face, of course. But one recognizes the same idiom, the same attitudes, the same strange mix of wisdom and un-wisdom.

There's all that excel-in-school and whup-your-kids stuff, for example. But Shirley is really genuine. There's nothing scripted or calculated there. An ideological muddle, by the exigent standards of my lefty mailing lists, but obviously a thinking person, with some very sharp insightful things to say, and besides that, a good generous heart.

So of course they ditched her.

The response has been so fierce, and the embarrassment so intense, that they may end up backtracking. I hope they do, but only because I want Shirley to have a good steady job for a few more years. The important, the telling thing, is that they ditched her in the first place -- because some right-wing loon put together a cut-and-paste three-minute pastiche of what she said.

Now this is an old story. My lefty mailing-list comrades are already comparing her to Joycelyn Elders and Lani Guinier -- though, being intellectuals, my e-comrades think Lani and Jocelyn's fate is "worse" because the latter two were purged for their ideas. Proportional representation and masturbation -- proportional or otherwise -- there's the liberal Palladium for you.

Absent the ranking, though, the comparison is right on target. Same phenomenon. And the persistent calculus involved is so childishly simple it's embarrassing to point it out: If you dump a Guinier, or an Elders, or a Sherrod, you won't lose any black folks or white liberals because, hell, where are they going to go? You've got them sewn up.

On the other hand, you might pull in a few wavering pissed-off white guys. Especially if they're unemployed. and have a vague memory of their Grannys telling them about Roosevelt, but they're still kinda worried about the nigs.

So there's no downside risk in tossing Lani, or Jocyelyn, or Shirley to the sharks. But there's a possible conjectural gain.

Integrate -- in the mathematical sense -- this function over a few years, and where do you end up?

Show your work.

Scoring error

By Owen Paine on Wednesday July 21 07:11 PM

Soul-twisted Mark Angelnacht has decided he went too easy on the Ohbummer-Hillary handling of the coup last year in Honduras:

"Back in January, I gave the White House a “D“ for its response to the coup. Even though it totally botched its approach to the elections in the country last November—reversing its demand that Zelaya be reinstated...

I argued against giving the White House an “F” for its response. My rationale at the time was that the Obama administration’s approach was distinctly better than what we might have expected from the Bush cabal...[But] In early June, [Hillary] defied the rest of the hemisphere by arguing at the Organization of American States that Honduras should be readmitted to the body...

" This type of backward-looking guff deserves no quarter. Engelbird here ought to get a long stretch hung by his thumbs, in some town square in outer Honduras.

But no. He'll stay here, behind the human-rights plate, calling strikes, balls, and walking Uncle Sam's unclean agents around the bases.

(Editor's note: If you really want to get depressed, do a Google image search on the phrase "report card".)

22:16, Monday, July 19, 2010

ismism

By Michael J. Smith on Monday July 19 10:16 PM

Above, the perhaps-mythical Nicolas Chauvin, eponymous ancestor of chauvinism.

One of my Marxoid mailing lists has erupted in a positively Shiite orgy of self-flagellation about its own male chauvinism, sexism, or worst of all, "patriarchy", a politico-cultural category as bogus as phlogiston. People have even hopped into the Wayback Machine and started talking about the "Woman Question."

(Erm, sorry, Professor, what was the question?)

Needless to say this has opened the floodgates to a denunciation of several other ism's. There is, for example, a very worrisome thread of anti-Semitism among Palestinians, which must of course be deeply deplored and utterly rooted out.

The righteous ragout has even been spiced up with some universalist anti-Iranian propaganda -- those ragheads, you know, they're awful male chauvinists. Or sexists. Or patriarchs, or something.

A few samples:

I despise [Hillary] Clinton politically as much as anyone, but I despised even more the posts on this list... during the campaign which included remarks clearly elicited by her gender, not her politics. I found those posts really disgusting.
(That one was from a guy whose stuff I usually like. Same guy below, being uncharacteristically purple, categorical, and superlative):
The Woman Question is the question of the role of women in the anti-capitalist revolutionary movement. And I want to start out with a flat claim: Unless the anti-capitalist movement 'solves' this question both in theory and practice there will be no revolution, there will be no resolution of the 'problem' of global warming, there will be no defeat of imperialism. To solve that question is to solve the 'problem' of political organization in our movement. To fail to solve it is to dissolve our movement. No greater theoretical and practical problem faces us than this.
By contrast, the next guy, fortunately for me, is a complete idiot, as far as I can tell:
I stick around because there is useful stuff to learn here, but the ignorance and insensitivity around gender are simply stunning, and the adolescent defensiveness around being called out on it is breathtaking. It makes me realise how fortunate I am to have worked mainly with exceptionally enlightened people for several years now; I sometimes forget how damaged and backwards even some of my best brothers can be. It's really disheartening.
Another comrade:
[S]exism on the left, the dead mouse on the kitchen floor that nobody wants to acknowledge, needs to be acknowledged. And this is no wholesale bashing of the left: There are many good, sincere brothers who truly care about womens' issues.

I have experienced much indifference (at best) and even disdain for women's issues among men on the left. It pains me to read, for example, marxists on this site defending Roman Polanski's rape of a young girl, sexist comments against Hillary Clinton and CNN reporter Candy Crowley and more. You are the same people who would be offended (and rightfully so) by a racist attack on Barack Obama.

There's something really wrong and misplaced with all this. Nobody gets beaten up or raped on an email list. People can be awfully rude and nasty, but for heaven's sake, at the end of the day, it's just pixels on a screen.
No greater theoretical and practical problem faces us than this.
Sorry, cher camarade, this jumps the shark. The achievements of the movement for women's liberation in my country in my lifetime have been amazing and entirely positive, in a thousand unanticipated ways, but to say in 2010 that there is no greater problem for the Left than its sexism? No greater problem? Please!

It's time to declare a moratorium on isms. Take the Tea Party loons. The characteristic left-liberal response to these folks is to hurl the thunderbolt -- or rather, alas, the now-damp squib -- of "racism" at them. Very likely it's accurate, as far as it goes -- they dislike Obie a bit more than they otherwise might because of his complexion. Perhaps they don't like black folks in general, and never will. But really, who cares? Isn't it more important that they're just batshit delusional, in a hundred more interesting and perplexing ways?

Desegregation -- and women's liberation -- are events that happened within living memory. It takes a hundred years or so for the last diehards to die off, to the point that diehardism becomes merely quaint. But come on. These battles were won on both the political and the ideological plane. It's a mopping-up operation now.

This obsessive bien-pensant ismist nattering about people's attitudes and language is preposterous. It's the mentality of the revival meeting: are you really saved?

Blame the Blue Dogs

By Owen Paine on Monday July 19 05:06 PM

That could be the Dembo party line on the evening of the first Tuesday this November, if the party "of the people, all the people, and nothing but the people... so help me God" loses control of my beloved House.

The blues blocked a full-scale stimulus, and a full-scale stimulus, even if delivered in two dosages, would have meant more folks quickly back to counter and cubicle, with the delightful result... another two more years of little-guy-friendly Dembo party House dictatorship.

Here's a fitting outcome, perhaps: crime followed by smart bomb punishment. This election cycle I'd expect them blue dogs will take more of the hit than their Milquetoaste pwog colleagues. Blue dogs are in tippy districts, pwogs ain't.

Let's hope Dennis the Menace has solid grounds for a big schooner of... what's that German word?

17:28, Saturday, July 17, 2010

Vanity Fair

By Owen Paine on Saturday July 17 05:28 PM

Woody Mattchuck hates Republicans. They lie!

Take the fiscal budget. They don't really want it to balance, those lying dogs. They don't even want to cap spending, so long as it's them doing the spending, and doing it their way.

Boy Yggie:

"The key element of conservative fiscal policy is that tax revenue as a percent of GDP should be made as low as possible. This isn’t a goal they pursue that stands in some kind of balance with concern about the deficit, it’s the only goal they pursue."
Of course Matt's an idiot. But that's not why I'm posting this. I'm posting it because I'd like someone to tell me why so many realist pwogs are content to say that schoolroom spending is good, damn good in fact, and soldier-boy spending bad, very very bad -- then fold their hands and belch and fart like a sow after polishing off a big trough of mash.

Values values values... the kulturkampf! More uplifting black kids to college, versus less airlifting Yahoos to Kandahar.

You can blame a comment of electric Al's for this banal mind-stumped query of mine:

"The meritoids have been getting sucked dry for a long time, and their resolve every electoral cycle is to support more and better vampires. When that fails them, as it always does, they slink over to the "decent middle ground" between the bugfuck nuts and batshit crazy neoliberals. They're as hopeless as the wingnuts. All that counts for them anymore is the fatuous satisfaction of feeling superior to the hysterical wingers."
Bugfuckers to one side, batshit crazies on the other, and they are good with it -- if they can just sip that elixir of moral and intellectual superiority. The Dems' top pwog-org cutouts and stone oracles like ole bucktooth Woody got themselves a regular moral-industrial / intellectual-industrial complex goin' 24/7, feeding these unwinged souls a steady stream of sweet-tastin', long-lastin' spirits of Vanity Fair.

Winners and losers

By Owen Paine on Saturday July 17 05:01 PM

Over at union think tank EPI they got an update on the continuing stag saga, nicely packed in to one comparison. Point A:

"Total profits of U.S. corporations,...were at $1.50 trillion in the fourth quarter of 2007, and reached $1.59 trillion in the first quarter of 2010."
Point B:
"Over that same period, the country lost 8.2 million jobs"

14:45, Friday, July 16, 2010

O save us from the pitchforks, dear Paul!

By Owen Paine on Friday July 16 02:45 PM

Over at Thomatose Central, I catch Paul Krugman, terrier for equity, once again chewing up a stage rug over those scarey guys from Elephant Town. Heeere's Kruggie:

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/16/opinion/16krugman.html?_r=1

Republicans are feeling good about the midterms — so good that they’ve started saying what they really think. This week the party’s Senate leadership stopped pretending that it cares about deficits, stating explicitly that while we can’t afford to aid the unemployed or prevent mass layoffs of schoolteachers, cost is literally no object when it comes to tax cuts for the affluent.

And that’s one reason — there are others — why you should fear the consequences if the G.O.P. actually does as well in November as it hopes.

Krug, Krug. Banging the drum for the donkey is obscene, after the lesser evil has more than once, on most major policy avenues, flat-out flunked the George Wallace "dimes worth of difference" test. To suggest continuing to play the lesser-evil card is for undercover Quislings.

PK, the donks deserve to get turned out. Sweeping away pure cover and brand perception management -- all the handwringing on one side and the kill-the-wolf crying on the other -- can you say objectively that Ohbummer & Co. have made life signifigantly better for the median voting souls than a prez McCain would have?

Go down the list of policy areas one by one. Don't notice how it would be packaged, but just what it really would probably amount to. If the difference, the real difference, is second-order, then Ohbummer and his congo pals deserve to get turfed out, for passing up a once-in-a-generation opportunity to try at least to be qualitatively better then that fleabitten gimped-up mean-spirited flight-deck pappy would have been.

I can understand the temptation to pull the lever for a lesser evil. Do it, pal, do it. Even if it only makes a second-order difference, it's still a difference. The logic is fine -- as far as it goes. Pull the jackass lever in November then. I guess that's okay -- even if I think rewarding them only perpetuates a symbiotic evil. Maybe that takes more "evidence" than you find in the record. You certainly seem to have a higher opinion of the Clinton years than I do.

But still: why this absurd ballyhoo -- "The wild things are coming! The wild things are coming!" The guts of your argument becomes this:

"Good people, we have to admit to ourselves that Ohbummer rather pusillanimously has protected the big boys from our righteous pitch forks, and let a lot of us down, but that's only half the story.

"At least he's trying -- you know, trying to protect us from... ahhhh... their evil pitchforks. Right? Eh? Right about that at least... err, if you look at it kinda sideways, maybe, and at least now and then.

"Um... come on... I mean, he's got a good heart... don't he? That oughta count for somethin', I think... no?"

Orthrus:
mascot of the two-party system

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